Enhanced DiD Lab: Pre-trends Testing

Explore Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods. Test the crucial parallel trends assumption by examining pre-treatment trends and see how violations affect your causal estimates.

Controls

-812
-88
-35
-33

Violation of parallel trends in pre-periods

Quick Scenarios

DiD with Pre-trends Analysis

Policy Start-3-2-1012Periods Relative to Policy ImplementationOutcomeControl GroupTreatment GroupCounterfactual

Results & Diagnostics

5.15
DiD Estimate
0.15
Bias
0.37
Pre-trend Test
PASS
Parallel Trends

Group Means

Pre-Treatment (Control):48.16
Pre-Treatment (Treated):47.94
Post-Treatment (Control):50.99
Post-Treatment (Treated):55.91

DiD Calculation

Change in Treatment:7.97
Change in Control:2.82
Difference-in-Differences:5.15

Understanding Pre-trends

Why Pre-trends Matter

DiD assumes treatment and control groups would follow parallel trends without intervention. Pre-treatment periods let us test this assumption.

What to Look For

Before policy implementation, the two groups should have similar slopes. Differential pre-trends suggest the assumption is violated.

Try This: Set differential pre-trend to 2.0 and see how it biases your DiD estimate even when the true treatment effect is 0!

Stata Implementation

Master More Causal Inference Methods

Now that you understand DiD and pre-trends testing, explore other quasi-experimental methods for identifying causal effects when randomization is not possible.